The Booker Prize, the second-most prestigious honour in literature after the Nobel, has a chequered history. Predicting its next winner is somewhat like predicting the next football world-cup winner – and hence both attract bookies.

The jury can beat all expectations and throw up a surprise, as they did in 2019 when they named, for the first time, two winners: Margaret Atwood for The Testaments and Bernardine Evaristo for Girl, Woman, Other. The former was a well-established name; the latter was yet to make it to the top grade though it was her eighth novel. One novel was something a seasoned reader would pick up without reservations; the other might be a little edgy for many. The year before, the Booker went to Milkman by Anna Burns, the whole novel composed of a young woman’s

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