Moscow brought up the possibility of using nuclear weapons in Ukraine once again. However, deploying such weapons involves several critical factors. First, the weapons must be deliverable, meaning they need to reach their target accurately. Second, the target must be valuable enough to justify the use of such a powerful weapon, ideally causing minimal damage to nearby friendly cities.
The most important thing is that the country launching the attack must be confident that its enemy cannot or will not respond with a nuclear attack. The uncertainty about how the attacked country might respond, the ability of the attacker to survive a counterattack, and whether the initial strike would be devastating enough are significant unknowns.
This uncertainty is a major reason why nuclear weapons have not been used since the bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Russia’s threats to use nuclear weapons are more about creating fear than actual plans to use them. The main goal is to make the USA and its allies reconsider their support for Ukraine by raising the stakes of the conflict.
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