The stock market is sending mixed signals at the moment, caught in a tangle of overlapping anxieties. Predicting its next move depends heavily on which narrative you want to believe.

Adventure No. 1: Trouble with banks

You could choose door No. 1 and subscribe to the dominant concern of the week: A number of high-profile bankruptcies in consumer-facing industries may have exposed an underlying economic weakness that threatens parts of the banking sector.

A small number of regional banks have reported some bad loans this past week. The bankruptcies of a major auto parts company and a subprime auto lender have exposed bigger lenders, including JPMorgan and Wall Street finance company Jefferies, to potentially significant losses.

A number of the lenders are alleging they were victims of fraud.

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