A new independent survey shows Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-NY) edging ahead of Democrat Gov. Kathy Hochul in a potential 2026 gubernatorial matchup, even as New York City Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani maintains a commanding lead in the upcoming mayoral race.
According to data released by the Manhattan Institute, Stefanik leads Hochul 43 percent to 42 percent among registered voters statewide — a statistical tie that nonetheless gives the Republican a narrow advantage. The poll, conducted October 22–26 among 900 New York voters, also found that Stefanik holds a six-point lead over Hochul’s lieutenant governor and potential primary challenger, An
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