For years, the quickest route to prestige and higher pay for many Indian families was simple: an overseas degree. But as the US, Australia, Canada and other traditional destinations have tightened student intakes and work pathways, that once-reliable route is growing narrower.

With fewer guaranteed seats abroad and more scrutiny of temporary work schemes, the question is no longer only whether a student can get into a foreign university, it is whether a foreign credential is still the best return on a family’s investment.

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The policy pivot is clear and recent. Australia set a national planning level of 270,000 new international student commencements for 2025 to rebalance campus populations and ease housing pressures.

Canada reduced its study-permit allocations to 437,000 for 2025 as part of a broader effort to manage temporary resident numbers and services.

These moves have immediately narrowed pathways for aspiring overseas students and made planning less predictable.

Dr Priestly

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