The chief of Russia’s General Staff, Valery Gerasimov, declared in late August that his forces had achieved major victories across eastern and southern Ukraine in their summer offensive. He cited thousands of square kilometers of newly captured land, nearly 150 seized settlements and a near-encirclement of Kupiansk, a key town in the Kharkiv region. But independent assessments paint a far less rosy picture. Western analysts, Ukrainian officials and even pro-Russian military bloggers say Moscow’s progress is far more modest than the Kremlin claims — and has come at a steep cost in lives and equipment.
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