This week’s by-election in Caerphilly may end up being the only one in the history of the Wales Senedd. Caused by the death of Labour member Hefin David, it is the first since the Welsh assembly changed its name to the Senedd five years ago; next year, a new Senedd will be elected by a new proportional system that abolishes by-elections. Under the closed list system, any vacancy will be filled by the next person on that party’s list.
The contest has also become a significant pointer to the changing shape of Welsh politics, where the rise of Nigel Farage’s Reform party could have implications for the next general election in the whole of Britain.
Why is Wal
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