The Diplomat author Mercy Kuo regularly engages subject-matter experts, policy practitioners, and strategic thinkers across the globe for their diverse insights into U.S. Asia policy. This conversation with Finley Grimble – founder and CEO of Knightsbridge Strategic Group (KSG), a geopolitical intelligence, scenario planning, AI, and wargaming advisory in London – is the 485th in “The Trans-Pacific View Insight Series.”
Identify three key takeaways from KSG’s September exercise “Wargaming Strategic Solutions to China’s Dominance in Rare Earths and Critical Minerals (2026-2036).”
China’s dominance in refining and processing proved extremely difficult to challenge; even aggressive Western strategies struggled to dislodge it.
The risk of confrontation increased over time as the United States faced a narrowing win
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