While both Democrats are ahead, Republicans have been making gains in New Jersey and Virginia, and each candidate faces what would ordinarily seem to be majority electorates whose commitment to the party has frayed since the 2024 election.
“Both gubernatorial contests are tests of the brand that Democrats believe is best suited for their comeback,” Larry Sabato, a political scientist at the University of Virginia and editor in chief of Sabato’s Crystal Ball, wrote by email:
The brand Democrats are selling this year is modera
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