Israeli prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu attends the opening of the winter session of the Israeli parliament in Jerusalem, on Monday. Photograph: EPA

The polls in Israel have predicted a clear electoral defeat for Binyamin Netanyahu ever since the Hamas attack on October 7th, 2023.

However, following the military defeat of Hizbullah in Lebanon and the 12-day war against Iran in June, the gap between Mr Netanyahu’s bloc of right-wing and religious parties and the opposition parties had narrowed.

The Gaza ceasefire and the release of all 20 living hostages last week have narrowed the gap further and the latest polls

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