The political landscape is now set for October: La Libertad Avanza (LLA) and Fuerza Patria closed their lists in an orderly fashion and will be the main protagonists of the election campaign.

With different profiles, Jorge Taiana and José Luis Espert embody the two poles of polarisation. Outside this framework, each party faces its own challenges: the identity crisis for Mauricio Macri’s camp as it is swallowed up by the libertarians, the fragmentation of the leaderless Radicals and the future facing the centrist governors’ bloc.

Candidates were defined district by district, so speaking of a single closing may be reductive. Still, analysts agree that polarisation will be the organising axis of politics in the months ahead. Although a large segment of the population feels represented by neither Milei nor Peronism, so far – despite the efforts of those centrist governors – no political space has managed to overcome this dichotomy.

In conversation with Perfil, Facundo Nejamkis (Opina Argentina), Cristian Butié (CB Consultora) and Santiago Giorgetta (Proyección Consultores) analysed the outlook for the most competitive political forces heading into the midterms.

La Libertad Avanza: Karina Milei’s construction

Within LLA, Giorgetta highlighted the role of the President’s sister. “Karina Milei closed the lists in a very particular way. It is remarkable how someone with little experience managed to defeat several political caudillos,” he said.

The ruling party’s strategy