Washington assistance contingent on midterm success adds the latest uncertainty to next weekend’s electoral showdown, threatening to be a vicious circle amid opinion polls generally trending downwards, but not over until it is over. Donald Trump may have fired an arrow into Javier Milei’s eye on the 959th anniversary of the Battle of Hastings last Tuesday when he informed him that he had neither time nor money for losers but nothing like a comparison with the pre-electoral expectations of the last decade to underwrite “no such uncertainty as a sure thing” (Robert Burns dixit).
Perhaps the uncertainty is greater now than in the previous elections – while the outlook is generally negative, the probabilities of Milei not winning look greater than for his actually losing. As it happens, the midterms of the last decade resulted much closer to the expectations (with Mauricio Macri tipped to cash in on his one growth year of 2017 while Alberto Fer
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