Taoiseach Micheal Martin is still at the apex of Irish politics. But for how much longer? Photograph: Brian Lawless/PA Wire

As the dust settles on Wednesday after perhaps the most antagonistic parliamentary party meeting of his leadership, Micheál Martin remains in situ as Fianna Fáil’s second longest serving leader.

He is still in the Taoiseach’s office, still at the apex of Irish politics. But for how much longer?

Can he put this behind him and go on to fulfil the rest of his term – or is he holed below the waterline, destined to sink in the first half of next year?

Let’s consider

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