The recent uptick in Israeli incursions into southern Syria is not an isolated security event, nor is it merely a reaction to local dynamics along the frontier. It is, at its core, a political message, delivered on the ground, aimed at shaping how Washington interprets President Ahmad al-Shaaraβs visit to the United States and the potential diplomatic openings it may bring. Every time Syria edges toward a channel of engagement that does not pass through Tel Aviv, Israel responds by redrawing the lines of what it considers permissible. The latest operations fit neatly into this pattern.
For Israel, the Syrian presidentβs visit to Washington carries implications far beyond photo opportunities and diplomatic statements. It raises questions that cut to the heart of Israelβs long-standing red lines: Will the U.S. reconsider aspects of its sanctions regime? Could the trip revive discussions about the political track that has been stalled for more than a decade? Might it crack open a quiet dialogue, direct or indirect, on issues related to the south, the Golan Heights or de-escalation arrangements?
Israelβs answer has been
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