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The writer is a political, security and defence analyst. He tweets @shazchy09 and can be contacted at [email protected]

There are a few givens: One, that following November 2021 - some would argue the cracks had begun before that in the summer - the system had broken down, whatever name we called it by. One party, the PTI, had broken ranks and was beginning to assert itself free of the other partner, the Establishment. Starting in April 2022, the country was hurled into a cycle of instability and disaffection which continues to belabour every facet of the national structure and character despite all attempts at force-stopping the dysfunction. Two, the system calculated for itself a period of benign and uninterrupted opportunity which it hopes will give it the time to chaperon most activities like social and political stability, security and economic viability back on a more sustainable base. There can be questions if indeed it is the Establishment's role at all to mind any of these, but the time for it is long past and it is now a given rea

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