We have all heard of the butterfly effect, the notion that, by gently flapping its brightly-coloured wings somewhere in the Amazon rainforest, a humble insect could set off a chain of events leading to a devastating sandstorm in the Gobi desert. It is an attractive theory, but there are so many butterflies and other tiny creatures fluttering about that it has little practical value.
Nonetheless, something rather similar has just happened in the world of international politics. By declining to hand Donald Trump the Nobel Peace Prize, a bunch of obscure Norwegian lefties – academics, retired politicians and the like – have not only made it much harder for Venezuela to get rid of an appalling dictatorship but have also dealt a body blow to NATO which, as its supporters like to remind us, kept peace in Europe for over 70 years until Vladimir Putin invaded Ukraine.
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