The severe floods that hit the UAE in April 2024 have been used by meteorologists to test a model that forecasts rapid and extreme rainfall.
Researchers at the UK’s Met Office, the country’s weather service, and Newcastle University have found that a model they created to explain how extreme rain develops in temperate regions also works when applied to the floods in the UAE.
As a result, they now hope their framework for how rapid, extreme rainfall develops could make it easier to forecast such events in regions such as the Arabian Peninsula, enabling emergency services and residents to be better prepared.
Dr David Flack, a scientist at the Met Office and a co-author of the study, said the model could offer better advanced warning of extreme rain. “We’re exploring how this model can enhance scientific understanding of how extreme rainfall develops and whether it could be tur
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