The enormous US naval armada dispatched to the maritime regions within striking distance and from all directions of Iran – coupled with continuing American threats of a major military strike (although the stated goals have shifted somewhat over time) – make it more than likely that a significant, and possibly devastating, US military action may well be forthcoming. But then what?
Whatever the hopes of millions inside and outside of Iran, regime change as a result of aerial bombardments are, historically, virtually unknown. Regimes only change because local elites and/or the general population (including the military) decide a change of rule is absolutely necessary in the national interest, or due to an overwhelming foreign military intervention (such as the 2003 US invasion of Iraq). But, like sanctions, bombing attacks, no matter how intense, historically simply don't produce those results.
Undoubtedly, US President Donald Trump and his administration are well aware of this.
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