For President William Ruto, the path to 2027 is as much a numbers game as a political balancing act.
Beyond policy and governance, the critical question remains: which region and which leader will provide the votes needed to secure the deputy presidency and consolidate a winning coalition?
Last week's by-elections have offered insights—but also deepened the dilemma.
During the mini-polls, three key figures emerged as potential running-mate contenders: Deputy President Kithure Kindiki, who oversaw campaigns in Mbeere North; Homa Bay Governor Gladys Wanga, who led operations in Ugunja and Kasipul; and Prime Cabinet Secretary Musalia Mudavadi, who fronted the Malava contest.
Prof Kindiki was widely viewed as the most vulnerable, with his future as deputy president seemingly tied to the outcome of the Mbeere North race.
Deputy President Kithure Kindiki congratulates Leo Muthende of UDA after he was declared the
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